US Election Week Results 2020 (1 Viewer)

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  • Total voters
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Based on Biden’s confident speech and Trump’s tantrums about fraud, you have to assume that, while the media is being understandably cautious, the campaigns have dissected the data based on which counties and ballots are yet to come in, and they look largely to favour Biden (he says hopefully)

CNN were comparing it last night, quite early on in fact, that it feels like 2018 when it looked like a really disappointing night for Democrats but as it dragged on the true picture was better and closer to polling that first thought (albeit still a bit OFF)
 
Here’s a look at what we know about the outstanding vote in each battleground state:

  • Arizona: While some outlets, such as the Associated Press, have projected Arizona for Biden, ABC News has not. Before the election, officials did warn that any super-close races might not be resolved until the last votes are counted on Thursday or Friday. However, the race isn’t that close right now (Biden 52 percent, Trump 47 percent), so we might see a projection sooner.
  • Nevada: The race is very tight — Biden has a very slight lead — and all in-person votes have been counted. But a count of late-arriving mail ballots and provisional ballots — which tend to be Democratic — is still to come.
  • Wisconsin: The race is very tight — tied 49 percent to 49 percent as of this writing — and it’s unclear how much of the vote remains.
  • Georgia: Trump is ahead in a tight race, but significant votes are outstanding. The big holdup here is Fulton County, which as of 2 a.m. was home to most of the outstanding ballots. The count there was delayed by a burst pipe (no ballots were damaged), and election officials told the Atlanta Journal-Constitution their goal was to go into Wednesday with just 20,000 ballots left to count. However, the secretary of state estimated those results would not be released until the afternoon.
  • Michigan: There are still hundreds of thousands of absentee ballots to be counted here, and it’s unclear if counting will continue throughout the night. Election officials did say earlier on Tuesday that they expected counting to wrap up by Wednesday night.
  • Pennsylvania: Trump is ahead with 75 percent of the expected vote in, but there are significant chunks of votes still to come from urban and potentially rural counties as well. Going into the election, many county and state election officials predicted that results wouldn’t approach completion until Friday.
  • Maine: Honestly, this is anyone’s guess. Election officials are taking much longer here than they originally expected.
  • North Carolina: 95 percent of the expected vote has already been counted here, so it seems quite possible that all we’re waiting on are late-arriving mail-in ballots, which have until Nov. 12 to arrive. That means we could be waiting over a week for a call here
From 538
 
Is this true?

According to the exit poll, Trump did better in 2020 with every race and gender except white men. Change from 2016:
White Men -5
White Women +2
Black Men +4
Black Women +4
Latino Men +3
Latino Women +3
Other +5


Come through... white men(?)


I mean 99-5 is still a lot more than 2+3....


Let’s not get too excited about white men.



(obviously those numbers are hyperbolic for effect before someone asks me where I got them from...)
 
The BBC talking about Arizona being project for Biden even though they haven’t projected it themselves :D

the BBC have been super cautious with all projections all night and I really think that’s actually a good course of action to take in an election this closely contested.
 
The swing in demos is Biden v Clinton not Biden v Trump obviously, so Biden was always going to be up with white men and down with women. The Latino vote is disappointing however. I’m sure Biden has a favourable lead overall with Hispanics, but to not gain on that lead after 4 years of Trump wall building is baffling
 
An accurate reading of both campaign HQ last night (and what was going on in my head)

 
So...is it conceivable that we could have a result today as in before, say, 10pm UK time or are we going to have to sleep on all this again?
 
So...is it conceivable that we could have a result today as in before, say, 10pm UK time or are we going to have to sleep on all this again?
If it goes south for Wisconsin and/or Michigan, it could take a few more days until we know Pennsylvania, no? It seems the former two are going to be most critical.
 
Shit like this and the "broken pipe" in Atlanta is just massive shocking. It's not that far off Russian/Nazi Germany tactics. Ludicrous this stuff happens in "the greatest country in the world" in 2020.

Last year, I didn't have running water for a week because of a burst pipe. So I guess this doesn't surprise me, but this seems very inconvenient.

After kind of sleeping for a few hours, I was hoping I would wake up to something more decisive, but it is starting to look better I THINK.
 
I've just been busy for an hour, I expected something more exciting than this. What a flop election.
 

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