Predict the 2024 US Presidential Election

ZenGiraffe

Panini S.p.a.
Pronouns
He/Him
Joined
Apr 25, 2020
Messages
38,227
Location
Sticker Factory
Voting has STARTED so predictions in please before it closes.


This is the current betting market prediction, NOT mine (which will follow soon)


polymarket-2024-presidential-election-odds.png
 
You can work from a blank map here, which might be easier


I'm going to predict that Georgia and Pennsylvania go red, but North Carolina saves the day by flipping blue.

1726760104550.png
 
kylJ2


If the trend continues to shift left it might yet go higher, Georgia is still a possibility followed by Arizona but I don’t see her taking NC or Florida. But it’ll probably plateau as we get closer and end up being tight.
 
I am secretly hoping for Georgia too. But PA is more important and so I’m pinning my optimism on that

:BList:
 
I think RJN’s results are what happens if the polling has underestimated her impact. All of those states are possible.
 
Pennsylvania has more electors than Georgia, but Georgia most likely goes the same way as North Carolina, so that would be even more
 
And why is red not the Democrats colour and blue the colour for the Trumps? This is so confusing.
 
Love the prospect of her losing Colorado and Nevada but winning Louisiana and Idaho :disco:
 
I'm still going with a very narrow Harris win by taking Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin and PA but losing NC, Georgia and Arizona.

I don't know whether it's pure optimism at this point but I have to hold hope.
 
I'm still going with a very narrow Harris win by taking Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin and PA but losing NC, Georgia and Arizona.
Makes a lot of sense. For me there is very little between that result and the one I posted above. Both feel very possible.
 
Since she was upgraded to candidate, I have believed she will win, and that the win has been locked in for months.

I am not prepared to be wrong, but I'm here for the drama either way.
 
1730815605030.png


All states with an ocean coastline to vote democrat
All states separated by 1 other state to an ocean coastline to vote republican
All states separated by 2 other states to an ocean coastline to vote democrat
All states separated by 3 other states to an ocean coastline to vote republican
All states separated by 4 other states to an ocean coastline to vote democrat

i have not spent very long verifying this. If you pick holes, it's the system's fault, not mine.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top Bottom